Heuristics #15 Expected the Unexpected
For the past few decades, we have viewed the world through the VUCA lens. Almost everyone knows the VUCA acronym, namely; Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, and Ambiguous. The world has since changed. It became more complex, and phenomena like COVID meant that VUCA no longer adequately described our environment. New thinking and new terminology were required. A ‘future-looking’ concept was introduced last year, namely; BANI (Brittle, Anxious, Nonlinear and Incomprehensible).
Given that BANI means:
- Brittle: quick to shatter, capable of total and sudden failure
- Anxious: fear that there are no correct choices
- Nonlinear: lack of clarity between perceived cause and effect
- Incomprehensible: exceptionally difficult, if not impossible, to understand.
Is BANI a useful orientation locus for trying to make sense of the world?
Heuristic 1: Be Realistic
BANI allows for a more accurate account of our current circumstances and, in a sense, paves the way to make the world a little more digestible.
Heuristic 2: Embrace Change
BANI better equips us for inevitable and constant change.
Heuristic 3: Drive Partnerships
BANI highlights the glaring need for increased, and meaningful, collaboration, inclusion, and resilience.
Heuristic 4: Manage Expectations
BANI enlightens us that sometimes it is okay ‘not’ to know and that you can be better off expecting the unexpected.